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NFL 2nd week, Sunday pick, Best Bet, long shot
Action Network/Getty Images Photo: Cooper Cup (left), T. J. Wat (center), Delick Henry
Ove r-site week is the second week of NFL.
It is almost impossible to wait for the NFL football show for six months, open a fire hose last weekend, and now drown in the valuable samples of the game, so that they do not overreacage. And for Better, it usually creates value on the other side of the overreaction.
Check out the second week of Betlabs and see if you notice the theme:
- Underdog with 0 wins and 1 loss, good card that was a dog in the first week of the week: 57-29-2 ATS (66%)
- Underdog for games without victory: 50-25 ATS (67%)
- From 2014, 3-6 points from coverage failure "Dog": 30-11-1 ATS (73%)
- Team of 2-digit defeat in opponents that are not so after the first week and 2012: 38-21-4 ATS (64%)
Did you find the target? They are overreacting. It is very difficult to support a team that has only seen once. However, as a beta, sometimes swallows strongly and do so anyway.
Let's enter the second week. Four games in full drive, hal f-drive long shots, and the third week look.
NFL 2nd week pick
49ERS vs. Vikings Pick: San Francisco offense explodes
September 15th (Sun) 49ers Total Over 25, 5 (-110), Over 29, 5 (+210), Over 33, 5 (+425)This is the hangover of the Super Bowl. Monday Knight reminded me that 49ers is as good as Chiefs. Despite the lack of Christian McFrey, San Francisco never made a mistake and won Jets's wonderful defense with eight consecutive points.
Last season, 49ers defeated many teams, but Vikings was not one of them. Minnesota shocked the Niners team, which lacked the tight ends of Trent Williams and Debo Samuel, which was an unusual success for Vikings for the top offense.
Brian Flores is doing a great job with this Vikings's defense, and his units are particularly outstanding against the evils and overwhelming offense, like last week's Giants. However, last season, Wikings had only two wins and seven losses for a team with the top half of the league, with Jordan Love before breaking and the thin 49ers.
In other words, Flores' defense has yet to beat an above-average offense, let alone a slick machine like the 49ers. The Vikings have allowed an average of 30 ppg in their last seven losses, but 16 ppg or less in the rest of those.
Last season, the 49ers won 14 games, scoring 27 or more points in all but one of those. This is just a proxy for the 49ers' wins, as San Francisco averaged 32. 8 ppg in those wins, scoring at least 30 points in 10 of those 14 games, including another one on Monday night. In fact, in their last 17 games with Trent Williams in the game, the 49ers are 16-1, scoring 30 or more points in 13-17 of those games.
The subdued totals in this game buy our Niners team total value. Grab the Over 25, 5 and play the Over 29, 5 at +210 (draftKings) as a rolling ladder of 30 was very common. The Niners won 34 games last season, nearly half of which were 14 wins. Bucks vs Lions Over/Under: Big Totals in Fade Week 2
Sunday, September 15
September 15th (Sun) This is the highest total on the board this week, but I think it's an overreaction.This game was a surprisingly close playoff rematch, with the Lions pulling away to win 31-23 after being tied in the 4th quarter. Baker Mayfield had 349 yards, 3 scores, and 2 interceptions.
Memories of that shootout and the injury turmoil in the Bucks secondary pushed the base number and the most common 51 total in the NFL too far, from 48, 5 in the season opener to 51, 5.
Yes, the Bucks are short on bodies. Antoine Winfield Jr. is a big loss at safety, and Tampa Bay is a big loss at corner 3. They may be missing a guy. But they still have Jamel Dean to deal with Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Detroit doesn't really have many weapons to throw to the Bucks.
There are a ton of routes down from here.
The Bucks offense was great against the Washington secondary, aided by some outside luck on third-down conversions, but look how they held up on the road against a much better Lions defense that should have shut down this anemic game. For the Lions, Jared Goff is always going to be dangerous for all of Todd Bowles' blitzes and aggressiveness.
This is more like a game that knows that Dan Campbell can't beat Detroit in Mayfield and the hit defense. There are many long and slow drives, 5 yards and seven yard passes endlessly walking on the field, and it sounds like a boring 20-6 victory to cut the clock.
In fact, I took this game just last season. Lions and Bucks played in the regular season, Detroit won 20-6, spending 37 minutes of possessions. The match was a total of 43, 5, but to be honest, this match should be closer.
Todd Bowls Road's under 31 wins, 19 losses (62 %), Dan Campbell (67 %) and Jared Goff (65 %) are both under 51 underlying.
If possible, draw 51 and 5 and be on this key. I'm going down. bread? This feels like a game where Dan Campbell is a game where Dan Campbell is a Mayfield and Lions just waste time and can't beat Detroit without ruining it. There are many long and slow drives, 5 yards and seven yard passing endlessly walking on the field, and it sounds like a boring game that wins the clock and wins 20 to 6.
In fact, I took this game just last season. Lions and Bucks played in the regular season, Detroit won 20-6, spending 37 minutes of possessions. The match was a total of 43, 5, but to be honest, this match should be closer.